Thursday, November 30, 2006

Big 12 Championship Game Forecast

KETV (Cox Channel 9) meterologist John Campbell writes on his blog on KETV.com that snowfall amounts in Kansas City prior to Saturday's Big 12 Championship game could range between one and 26 inches.

In an entry written Tuesday morning, Campbell forecast freezing rain and ice prior to a "major snowstorm Thursday and Thursday night." On Wednesday, sleet and snow fell throughout the Kansas City area, creating slick road conditions and up to a half-inch of ice in some parts of the metropolitan area.

A blog entry posted by Campbell Wednesday night warns Nebraska fans that they could encounter problems driving Friday night or Saturday morning:

Computer models are going crazy... giving southeast portions of the city 26" of snow... 10" in downtown KC.... and just to the north (i.e., the airport) maybe an inch? Needless to say it will be a very tight gradient of impressive snow to just a piddly nuisance. (Is piddly a word?)

Campbell writes that no precipitation is forecast for Saturday night's 7:13 p.m. kickoff. However, he said game time temperatures will make it "brutal to be out(side) for three hours."

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

I love it. You can't go wrong saying there will be between 1 and 26 inches of snow.

Unknown said...

Actually.. They could get nothing, then I'd be wrong.

John

Anonymous said...

Don't worry. We can always blame the weather models if that happens.

Richard said...

This is the same John Campbell that, on Sunday Night, forecasted a high of 46 here on Monday "maybe even the uper 40's". The other stations had it in the upper 30's. By Monday morning 'ol marble mouth' Andrea Breadow had it changed to 36.

So it makes sense that he is going with such a broad range - doesnt want to be wrong again!

Dumb Anguish said...

Hey, that's not a bad idea. The margin of error forecast.

"I'm forecasting 12 inches of snow" and have in small type at the bottom of the screen "plus or minus 12 inches"

"It should be 40 degrees tomorrow" and in fine print "plus or minus 15 degrees"

Whatever happened to the good old days when the folks in the weather department simply said "30% chance of precipitation" every single day? Those guys knew how to cover their bases! :)

Brian said...

You guys are brutal. Yeah, John made an error. So what? He didn't hide for cover. I think he provided an excellent explanation on his blog as to why the error occurred.

Anyone who understands the field of Meteorology somewhat would know how troublesome forecasting can sometimes be.

It's much easier to look back and compare and then start pointing fingers as to who was more accurate and what not.

While this may not have been his finest hour, there isn't a meteorologist out there who hasn't been in the same position at least a few times.

Bottom line: it happens, get over it.

As for Andrea - I can understand her just fine and I enjoy her forecasts. Perhaps those that are critical of her should take the corn cobs out of their ears.

The KETV weather team does a fine job. Amazing how critical some of you are of them, yet you somehow still find a way to tune in.

Anonymous said...

Not so fast. I can assure you that not everybody is still tuning in. I don't watch Campbell on the weekends anymore. He was wrong far too often for me last summer. Then he'd spend an awful lot of time in his blog apoligizing and trying to explain why he was wrong. That's great that he's sorry, but it does me little good, you know?

Changing the channel helped me "get over it".

Brian said...

Anonymous - I said "some", not "everybody". At the same time, if you don't tune in still, you shouldn't have any reason to bitch. Yet, it appears that people like to come out of the woodwork and "pile on" just because it seems fashionable.

Of course, baseball players get paid millions of dollars for successfully hitting a ball just 3 times out of 10 (or less). What about the other 70% of the time?

I'm sorry, I forgot - we're all perfectionists here, right?

Anonymous said...

The reason the baseball players get paid millions of dollars to hit the ball 30% of the time is because nobody can hit the ball 50% of the time. If I were to demand perfection from a meteorologist, I'd end up watching none of them because they all make mistakes. I just choose to watch the one I find is correct more often. You can call it bitching or piling it on, but I find nothing wrong with reinforcing other people's statements. When people reinforce yours, more power to them.